diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index d4d4003b1796a3273641004c30c7b9ed07d3bd0e..4a0e07ed66f92618d210a0cc78da76556c8dd3e6 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -1,6 +1,16 @@ # NegativePrognosisModel -This repository contains the implementation of the Negative prognosis model. +<p>From a specific date (50% germination), daily risk values are accumulated based on weather data (temperature, relative humidity and precipitation). The risk is an accumulated value of how the weather affects late blight germination/infection, sporulation and growth. Alle processes are corrected for inhibition due to drying. After the accumulated risk has reached a certain limit (150), there will be an infection risk if there is one day with high infection risk. This model is together with time of row closure, used to decide the timing of first spray against potato late blight.</p> +<h4>First spray</h4> +<p>There is normally no need for spraying against potato late blight before row closure. Long lasting, favourable weather conditions in areas with early production, in combination with high levels of primary inoculum, can make it necessary to spray earlier. If the accumulated risk based on the negative prognosis model reaches 150 before row closure, first spray should be applied at the next infection period. In years with long periods with wet soil early in the season can also lead to early risk of infection.</p> +<p>When accumulated risk < 150, warning symbol is green</p> +<p>When accumulated risk > 150, warning symbol is yellow if the daily risk is below 7 and red if it is above 7</p> +<p>When a late blight warning has been issued, cultivar suseptibility, selection of fungicide and time of application should be considered before spraying. Risk of getting an infection is highest if warnings are issued two days ore more in a row, and when late blight has been observed in the area. ‘</p> +<p>Fungicides are most effective when used as protectants against late blight. Infection normally occurs during the morning, which means that the spray should be applied the day before if not covered by the last spray. One application normally protects the crop for 7 to 14 days, depending on the fungicide, dose and growing conditions. </p> +<h4>Testing and validation</h4> +<p>This model has been tested in several countries, and is the basis for late blight warnings in the USA (NegFry)</p> +<h4>References</h4> +<p>Ullrich J. & H. Schrödter 1966. Das Problem der Vorhersage des Auftretens der Kartoffel krautfäule (Phytophthora infestans) und die Möglichkeit seiner Lösung durch eine “Negativprognose”. Nachrichtenblatt Deutsch. Pflanzenschutzdienst (Braunschweig) 18, 33-40</p> ### Development diff --git a/pom.xml b/pom.xml index f104dfcf9307a4542e4ea13d1edbf8258a50027e..ec98be63e86497d25cc15f14ad98c3db67f71c5e 100755 --- a/pom.xml +++ b/pom.xml @@ -11,14 +11,14 @@ <groupId>no.nibio.vips.model</groupId> <artifactId>NegativePrognosisModel</artifactId> - <version>1.1.2</version> + <version>1.1.3-SNAPSHOT</version> <packaging>jar</packaging> <dependencies> <dependency> <groupId>no.nibio.vips</groupId> <artifactId>VIPSCommon</artifactId> - <version>2.0.1</version> + <version>2.0.2</version> </dependency> <dependency> <groupId>junit</groupId> diff --git a/src/main/java/no/nibio/vips/model/negativeprognosismodel/NegativePrognosisModel.java b/src/main/java/no/nibio/vips/model/negativeprognosismodel/NegativePrognosisModel.java index 9e0a4675b55e9b0fb876529063b400b7aa5359fd..0e92a40476970c027055e76513a0fa36556e858d 100755 --- a/src/main/java/no/nibio/vips/model/negativeprognosismodel/NegativePrognosisModel.java +++ b/src/main/java/no/nibio/vips/model/negativeprognosismodel/NegativePrognosisModel.java @@ -156,22 +156,24 @@ public class NegativePrognosisModel extends I18nImpl implements Model{ @Override public String getLicense() { - return "\n" + - "Copyright (c) 2016 NIBIO <http://www.nibio.no/>. \n" + - "\n" + - "This file is part of NegativePrognosisModel.\n" + - "NegativePrognosisModel is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify\n" + - "it under the terms of the NIBIO Open Source License as published by \n" + - "NIBIO, either version 1 of the License, or (at your option) any\n" + - "later version.\n" + - "\n" + - "NegativePrognosisModel is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,\n" + - "but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of\n" + - "MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the\n" + - "NIBIO Open Source License for more details.\n" + - "\n" + - "You should have received a copy of the NIBIO Open Source License\n" + - "along with NegativePrognosisModel. If not, see <http://www.nibio.no/licenses/>."; + return "/*\n" + + " * Copyright (c) 2016 NIBIO <http://www.nibio.no/>. \n" + + " * \n" + + " * This file is part of NegativePrognosisModel.\n" + + " * This program is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify\n" + + " * it under the terms of the GNU Affero General Public License as published by\n" + + " * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or\n" + + " * (at your option) any later version.\n" + + " *\n" + + " * This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,\n" + + " * but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of\n" + + " * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the\n" + + " * GNU Affero General Public License for more details.\n" + + " *\n" + + " * You should have received a copy of the GNU Affero General Public License\n" + + " * along with this program. If not, see <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.\n" + + " * \n" + + " */"; } @Override